Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 2.411224 2.786915 3.209408 3.721172 4.326209 5.021042 5.882754
2025-03-02 1.809972 2.289489 2.886212 3.689541 4.752112 6.122457 8.044574
2025-03-09 1.525611 2.048555 2.744889 3.752316 5.193018 7.210434 10.304999
2025-03-16 1.302857 1.832963 2.577423 3.718174 5.455929 8.059661 12.364183
2025-03-23 1.142241 1.671599 2.449423 3.701696 5.717215 8.922880 14.590369
2025-03-30 1.004009 1.519747 2.307661 3.631901 5.868822 9.620519 16.667030
2025-04-06 0.919251 1.436136 2.255287 3.689396 6.226842 10.707144 19.637111
2025-04-13 0.821679 1.318767 2.131661 3.605879 6.321764 11.339032 21.882430
2025-04-20 0.778705 1.284985 2.140234 3.749337 6.842278 12.837163 26.171429
2025-04-27 0.716368 1.210557 2.069007 3.736367 7.062289 13.787279 29.522449
2025-05-04 0.681727 1.180182 2.071040 3.858845 7.564455 15.395458 34.724726
2025-05-11 0.638279 1.128964 2.028502 3.887553 7.876989 16.654717 39.417131
2025-05-18 0.593079 1.076361 1.989807 3.945965 8.325480 18.452008 46.378138
2025-05-25 0.540095 1.004418 1.907929 3.909988 8.579835 19.914478 53.134976
2025-06-01 0.504616 0.961599 1.877152 3.977087 9.084177 22.114755 62.810220
2025-06-08 0.463846 0.903013 1.805765 3.940641 9.330224 23.715317 71.326731
2025-06-15 0.429552 0.853556 1.746926 3.923054 9.620374 25.515782 81.257087
2025-06-22 0.394696 0.798879 1.669675 3.848569 9.746132 26.886515 90.325663
2025-06-29 0.373526 0.771188 1.648821 3.909927 10.257142 29.556191 105.426765
2025-07-06 0.344220 0.722374 1.573694 3.820801 10.323579 30.861527 115.860948
2025-07-13 0.333097 0.713123 1.589756 3.973903 11.139047 34.872851 139.717536
2025-07-20 0.312905 0.680861 1.546708 3.960059 11.443281 37.235421 157.626814
2025-07-27 0.302388 0.670087 1.554934 4.090805 12.239292 41.637671 187.957095